Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Which company has best AI model end of June? Fed Decision in July? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? F1 Drivers' Champion Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? World Cup: Golden Boot Winner How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? World Cup Winner Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Which company has best AI model end of June? Fed Decision in July? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? F1 Drivers' Champion Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? World Cup: Golden Boot Winner How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? World Cup Winner Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Open Sports Polymarket

MLB: ERA Leader

Top outcomes

Cristopher Sánchez 16%
Shohei Ohtani 13%
Paul Skenes 3%
Tarik Skubal 3%

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$1.7M Vol. Closes Sep 28, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.7m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.7M Vol.

Cristopher Sánchez

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Shohei Ohtani

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Paul Skenes

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Tarik Skubal

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Nick Pivetta

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Hunter Brown

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Bryce Elder

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Garrett Crochet

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Taj Bradley

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Clay Holmes

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Andrew Abbott

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Michael Wacha

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Max Fried

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Seth Lugo

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Nolan McLean

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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José Soriano

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Reynaldo López

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Dylan Cease

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Carmen Mlodzinski

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Brayan Bello

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Matthew Boyd

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Connelly Early

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Bryan Woo

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Logan Webb

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jacob deGrom

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Gavin Williams

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jeffrey Springs

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Chad Patrick

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Freddy Peralta

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Eduardo Rodriguez

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Merrill Kelly

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Emerson Hancock

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Joe Ryan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Carlos Rodón

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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