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Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Top outcomes
Cleitinho Azevedo
82%
Alexandre Kalil
3%
Patrus Ananias
3%
Mateus Simões
3%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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$376K Vol.
Closes Oct 4, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$375.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$376K Vol.
Cleitinho Azevedo
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 18%
+82 / −18
Alexandre Kalil
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Alexandre Kalil
Explain your No on Alexandre Kalil
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Patrus Ananias
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Patrus Ananias
Explain your No on Patrus Ananias
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mateus Simões
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Mateus Simões
Explain your No on Mateus Simões
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gabriel Azevedo
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Gabriel Azevedo
Explain your No on Gabriel Azevedo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Flávio Roscoe
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Flávio Roscoe
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rodrigo Pacheco
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Rodrigo Pacheco
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0 / 2,000
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Benoni Mendes
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Benoni Mendes
Explain your No on Benoni Mendes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Luís Eduardo Falcão
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Luís Eduardo Falcão
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0 / 2,000
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Euclydes Pettersen
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Euclydes Pettersen
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0 / 2,000
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Gleidson Azevedo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gleidson Azevedo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nikolas Ferreira
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nikolas Ferreira
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vittorio Medioli
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marcelo Aro
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Marcelo Aro
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tadeu Leite
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tadeu Leite
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aécio Neves
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Aécio Neves
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexandre Silveira
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexandre Silveira
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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