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Polymarket
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$30.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$30K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
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50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
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50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate J
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate K
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate L
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate M
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate R
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate W
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Weverton Rocha
34% market probability
34%
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
No 66%
+34 / −66
Fufuca
28% market probability
28%
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
No 72%
+28 / −72
Lahesio Bonfim
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Roseana Sarney
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
Eliziane Gama
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Raimundo Moreira
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Enilton Rodrigues
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Wilson Leite
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Simplício Araújo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Cidônio Gonçalves
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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