Open
Polymarket
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Top outcomes
Rafael López Aliaga
64%
Other
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Read more
Show less
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$107.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$107K Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
64% market probability
64%
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
No 36%
+64 / −36
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
28% market probability
28%
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
No 72%
+28 / −72
Francis James Allison Oyague
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Yehude Simón Munaro
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Segundo Valdez Zavala
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.
