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Polymarket
Italian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish
Top outcomes
Lando Norris
72%
George Russell
62%
Charles Leclerc
56%
Lewis Hamilton
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Italian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Italian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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$5K Vol.
Closes Sep 13, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$5.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$5K Vol.
Lando Norris
72% market probability
72%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 72%
+28 / −72
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 28%
+72 / −28
George Russell
62% market probability
62%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 62%
+38 / −62
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 38%
+62 / −38
Explain your Yes on George Russell
Explain your No on George Russell
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Charles Leclerc
56% market probability
56%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 44%
+56 / −44
Explain your Yes on Charles Leclerc
Explain your No on Charles Leclerc
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lewis Hamilton
53% market probability
53%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 53%
+47 / −53
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 47%
+53 / −47
Explain your Yes on Lewis Hamilton
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Esteban Ocon
43% market probability
43%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
Explain your Yes on Esteban Ocon
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0 / 2,000
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Isack Hadjar
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
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0 / 2,000
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Oliver Bearman
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
Explain your Yes on Oliver Bearman
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0 / 2,000
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Nico Hulkenberg
39% market probability
39%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 39%
+61 / −39
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 61%
+39 / −61
Explain your Yes on Nico Hulkenberg
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lance Stroll
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on Lance Stroll
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0 / 2,000
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Oscar Piastri
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on Oscar Piastri
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0 / 2,000
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Kimi Antonelli
29% market probability
29%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 29%
+71 / −29
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 71%
+29 / −71
Explain your Yes on Kimi Antonelli
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0 / 2,000
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Max Verstappen
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Max Verstappen
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Franco Colapinto
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
Explain your Yes on Franco Colapinto
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0 / 2,000
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Pierre Gasly
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Pierre Gasly
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Arvid Lindblad
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Arvid Lindblad
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergio Perez
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Sergio Perez
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0 / 2,000
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Valtteri Bottas
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Valtteri Bottas
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0 / 2,000
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Liam Lawson
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Liam Lawson
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0 / 2,000
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Gabriel Bortoleto
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Gabriel Bortoleto
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0 / 2,000
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Carlos Sainz Jr.
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Carlos Sainz Jr.
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fernando Alonso
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Fernando Alonso
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexander Albon
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Alexander Albon
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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