Open Sports Polymarket

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

Top outcomes

Lando Norris 72%
George Russell 62%
Charles Leclerc 56%
Lewis Hamilton 53%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Italian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Italian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

$5K Vol. Closes Sep 13, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$5.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$5K Vol.

Lando Norris

72% market probability

72%

Explain your Yes on Lando Norris Explain your No on Lando Norris (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

George Russell

62% market probability

62%

Explain your Yes on George Russell Explain your No on George Russell (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Charles Leclerc

56% market probability

56%

Explain your Yes on Charles Leclerc Explain your No on Charles Leclerc (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lewis Hamilton

53% market probability

53%

Explain your Yes on Lewis Hamilton Explain your No on Lewis Hamilton (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Esteban Ocon

43% market probability

43%

Explain your Yes on Esteban Ocon Explain your No on Esteban Ocon (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Isack Hadjar

41% market probability

41%

Explain your Yes on Isack Hadjar Explain your No on Isack Hadjar (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Oliver Bearman

41% market probability

41%

Explain your Yes on Oliver Bearman Explain your No on Oliver Bearman (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Nico Hulkenberg

39% market probability

39%

Explain your Yes on Nico Hulkenberg Explain your No on Nico Hulkenberg (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lance Stroll

34% market probability

34%

Explain your Yes on Lance Stroll Explain your No on Lance Stroll (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Oscar Piastri

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on Oscar Piastri Explain your No on Oscar Piastri (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Kimi Antonelli

29% market probability

29%

Explain your Yes on Kimi Antonelli Explain your No on Kimi Antonelli (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Max Verstappen

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on Max Verstappen Explain your No on Max Verstappen (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Franco Colapinto

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on Franco Colapinto Explain your No on Franco Colapinto (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Pierre Gasly

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on Pierre Gasly Explain your No on Pierre Gasly (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Arvid Lindblad

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on Arvid Lindblad Explain your No on Arvid Lindblad (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Sergio Perez

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on Sergio Perez Explain your No on Sergio Perez (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Valtteri Bottas

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Valtteri Bottas Explain your No on Valtteri Bottas (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Liam Lawson

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Liam Lawson Explain your No on Liam Lawson (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Gabriel Bortoleto

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Gabriel Bortoleto Explain your No on Gabriel Bortoleto (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Carlos Sainz Jr.

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Carlos Sainz Jr. Explain your No on Carlos Sainz Jr. (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Fernando Alonso

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Fernando Alonso Explain your No on Fernando Alonso (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Alexander Albon

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Alexander Albon Explain your No on Alexander Albon (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.