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How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Top outcomes

325–339 34%
310–324 24%
340–354 22%
355+ 8%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

$300K Vol. Closes Sep 20, 2026

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$300.1k Vol.

All outcomes

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$300K Vol.

325–339

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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310–324

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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340–354

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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355+

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 355+ Explain your No on 355+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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295–309

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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<280

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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280–294

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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