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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Netanyahu out by...? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Next French Presidential Election Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? US military action against Cuba by...? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Largest Company end of July? What price will Ethereum hit in July?
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FL-22 Republican Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Michael Carbonara 76%
Other 50%
Candidate A 50%
Candidate B 50%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$22K Vol. Closes Aug 18, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$22.2k Vol.

All outcomes

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$22K Vol.

Michael Carbonara

76% market probability

76%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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Candidate A

50% market probability

50%

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Candidate B

50% market probability

50%

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Candidate C

50% market probability

50%

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Candidate D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate E

50% market probability

50%

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Belinda Keiser

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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Casey Askar

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Richard Evans

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Michael Thompson

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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David Burck

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Terri Hasdorff

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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