Open
Polymarket
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place
Top outcomes
Leila do Vôlei
62%
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$30.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$30K Vol.
Leila do Vôlei
62% market probability
62%
Yes 62%
+38 / −62
No 38%
+62 / −38
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Erika Kokay
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Bia Kicis
14% market probability
14%
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
No 86%
+14 / −86
Michelle Bolsonaro
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
David Horn
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tiago
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Marley
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Zanata
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Avenir Rosa
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ronaldo Fonseca
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Sebastião Coelho
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Guto Felício dos Santos
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Professor Guilherme Amorim
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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