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Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Top outcomes

Ricardo Ferraço 76%
Other 50%
Candidate A 50%
Candidate B 50%

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

$34K Vol. Closes Oct 5, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$33.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$34K Vol.

Ricardo Ferraço

76% market probability

76%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate A

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate B

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate C

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate E

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate F

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate G

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate H

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate I

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate J

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Lorenzo Pazolini

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Arnaldinho Borgo

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Sergio Vidigal

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Euclério Sampaio

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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