Open Polymarket

CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap

Top outcomes

400B+ yuan 99%
370–400B yuan 1%
<250B yuan 0%
280–310B yuan 0%

This market will resolve based on CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

$52K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$51.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$52K Vol.

400B+ yuan

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 400B+ yuan Explain your No on 400B+ yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

370–400B yuan

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 370–400B yuan Explain your No on 370–400B yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

<250B yuan

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on <250B yuan Explain your No on <250B yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

280–310B yuan

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 280–310B yuan Explain your No on 280–310B yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

340–370B yuan

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 340–370B yuan Explain your No on 340–370B yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

250–280B yuan

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 250–280B yuan Explain your No on 250–280B yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

310–340B yuan

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 310–340B yuan Explain your No on 310–340B yuan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

No IPO by December 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on No IPO by December 31, 2026 Explain your No on No IPO by December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.