Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Top outcomes

October 31 53%

June 30 50%

August 30 50%

December 31 50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Closed Jun 10, 2026

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$0 Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

October 31

53% market probability

53%

Yes 53% +47 / −53 No 47% +53 / −47

June 30

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

August 30

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

December 31

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.