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Polymarket
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
Top outcomes
Count Binface
80%
Other
50%
Person G
50%
Person H
50%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$108.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$108K Vol.
Count Binface
80% market probability
80%
Yes 80%
+20 / −80
No 19%
+81 / −19
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AA
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AB
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AC
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AD
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AE
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AF
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AG
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AH
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AI
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AJ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AK
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AL
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AM
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AN
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AO
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AP
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AQ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AR
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Laurence Fox
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
Nigel Farage
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Kai Stephens
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Piers Corbyn
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Rees Cowne
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Matthew Bensilum
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Natasha Osben
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Giles Watling
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Andrew Pemberton
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Luke Worley
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tony Mack
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Adham Alkhatip
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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