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Polymarket
Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$33.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$34K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate J
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+50 / −50
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Candidate K
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+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate L
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+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate M
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate R
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate W
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Capitão Wagner
42% market probability
42%
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
No 58%
+42 / −58
Luizianne
37% market probability
37%
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
No 63%
+37 / −63
Cid Gomes
19% market probability
19%
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
No 81%
+19 / −81
Alcides Fernandes
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Catarina Matos
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Guilherme Theophilo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Reginaldo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Lino Alves
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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