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Open Crypto Polymarket

Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$20M 68%
$30M 51%
$40M 27%
$50M 16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$150K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$149.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$150K Vol.

$20M

68% market probability

68%

Explain your Yes on $20M Explain your No on $20M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$30M

51% market probability

51%

Explain your Yes on $30M Explain your No on $30M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$40M

27% market probability

27%

Explain your Yes on $40M Explain your No on $40M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$50M

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on $50M Explain your No on $50M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$100M

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$70M

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on $70M Explain your No on $70M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$150M

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $150M Explain your No on $150M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$200M

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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