Open
Polymarket
Bitcoin price on September 1?
Top outcomes
78,000-80,000
48%
76,000-78,000
48%
74,000-76,000
2%
80,000-82,000
2%
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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$46K Vol.
Closes Sep 1, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$46.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$46K Vol.
78,000-80,000
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
76,000-78,000
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on 76,000-78,000
Explain your No on 76,000-78,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
74,000-76,000
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 74,000-76,000
Explain your No on 74,000-76,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
80,000-82,000
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 80,000-82,000
Explain your No on 80,000-82,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
82,000-84,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 82,000-84,000
Explain your No on 82,000-84,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
72,000-74,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 72,000-74,000
Explain your No on 72,000-74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
70,000-72,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 70,000-72,000
Explain your No on 70,000-72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
84,000-86,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 84,000-86,000
Explain your No on 84,000-86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
<70,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on <70,000
Explain your No on <70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
>88,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on >88,000
Explain your No on >88,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
86,000-88,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 86,000-88,000
Explain your No on 86,000-88,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
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