Open
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on September 8?
Top outcomes
68,000
99%
70,000
99%
72,000
99%
74,000
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$48K Vol.
Closes Sep 8, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$48.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$48K Vol.
68,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
70,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 70,000
Explain your No on 70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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72,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 72,000
Explain your No on 72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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74,000
97% market probability
97%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 97%
+3 / −97
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 3%
+97 / −3
Explain your Yes on 74,000
Explain your No on 74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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76,000
93% market probability
93%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 93%
+7 / −93
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 7%
+93 / −7
Explain your Yes on 76,000
Explain your No on 76,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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78,000
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 19%
+81 / −19
Explain your Yes on 78,000
Explain your No on 78,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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80,000
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on 80,000
Explain your No on 80,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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82,000
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on 82,000
Explain your No on 82,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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84,000
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on 84,000
Explain your No on 84,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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86,000
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on 86,000
Explain your No on 86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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88,000
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on 88,000
Explain your No on 88,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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