Open
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on September 7?
Top outcomes
68,000
99%
70,000
99%
72,000
96%
74,000
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$10K Vol.
Closes Sep 7, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$10.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$10K Vol.
68,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
70,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 70,000
Explain your No on 70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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72,000
96% market probability
96%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 96%
+4 / −96
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 4%
+96 / −4
Explain your Yes on 72,000
Explain your No on 72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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74,000
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 9%
+91 / −9
Explain your Yes on 74,000
Explain your No on 74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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76,000
75% market probability
75%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 75%
+25 / −75
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 25%
+75 / −25
Explain your Yes on 76,000
Explain your No on 76,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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78,000
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on 78,000
Explain your No on 78,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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80,000
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
Explain your Yes on 80,000
Explain your No on 80,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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82,000
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 82,000
Explain your No on 82,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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84,000
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on 84,000
Explain your No on 84,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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86,000
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 86,000
Explain your No on 86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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88,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 88,000
Explain your No on 88,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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