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Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? NFL Champion 2027 NBA: 2027 Champion Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Iran leadership change by...? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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Bitcoin above ___ on July 27?

Top outcomes

56,000 100%
60,000 99%
58,000 98%
62,000 92%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$30K Vol. Closes Jul 27, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$29.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$30K Vol.

56,000

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 56,000 Explain your No on 56,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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60,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 60,000 Explain your No on 60,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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58,000

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 58,000 Explain your No on 58,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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62,000

92% market probability

92%

Explain your Yes on 62,000 Explain your No on 62,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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64,000

76% market probability

76%

Explain your Yes on 64,000 Explain your No on 64,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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66,000

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on 66,000 Explain your No on 66,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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68,000

17% market probability

17%

Explain your Yes on 68,000 Explain your No on 68,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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70,000

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on 70,000 Explain your No on 70,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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72,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 72,000 Explain your No on 72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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74,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 74,000 Explain your No on 74,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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76,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 76,000 Explain your No on 76,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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