Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Surf FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 74% Yes No
$100M 70% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 8?

35°C 100% Yes No
29°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 30?

32°C 100% Yes No
27°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Miami on June 25?

90-91°F 100% Yes No
82-83°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25?

35°C 100% Yes No
30°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 30?

70-71°F 100% Yes No
60-61°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 3?

72-73°F 100% Yes No
68-69°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 10?

30°C 100% Yes No
27°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Beijing on July 6?

33°C 100% Yes No
30°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Republican 82% Yes No
Democrat 18% Yes No
$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?

1-2 100% Yes No
3+ 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 9?

39°C 100% Yes No
32°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Moscow on July 4?

22°C 100% Yes No
18°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

2140 0% Yes No
2150 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 12?

74-75°F 100% Yes No
70-71°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 11?

74-75°F 100% Yes No
70-71°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 28?

70-71°F 100% Yes No
64-65°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1510 43% Yes No
1520 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

World Cup: Group C Last Place

Haiti 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Singapore on June 30?

28°C 100% Yes No
25°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

World Cup: 3rd Place Finish

France 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 92% Yes No
Jim Priest 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 14?

29°C 100% Yes No
25°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

US bank failure by July 31?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$96K Vol.
Polymarket Economy