Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$7.000+ 72% Yes No
$8.000+ 36% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27?

30°C 32% Yes No
29°C 24% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?

Anthropic 76% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

9 31% Yes No
10 26% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.0-3.4% 39% Yes No
2.0–2.4% 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

2.7% to 2.9% 38% Yes No
2.4% to 2.6% 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Trump say during remarks in Michigan?

Afford / Affordable / Affordability 91% Yes No
Oil 88% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket

Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?

No 77%
Yes 23%
$20K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

No Change 55% Yes No
Decrease 44% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$20K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What price will Ethereum hit on July 25?

↑ 1,900 7% Yes No
↓ 1,850 4% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

1600.00–1699.99 48% Yes No
<1600.00 32% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?

40%-42% 54% Yes No
38%-40% 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
October 31 30% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$19K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Solana hit July 20-26?

↓ 70 4% Yes No
↑ 90 1% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

1.5–2.0% 35% Yes No
2.0–2.5% 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$19K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest temperature in Denver on July 26?

100-101°F 46% Yes No
102-103°F 37% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 26?

100-101°F 38% Yes No
98-99°F 28% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

25+ 94% Yes No
22–24 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026

52.0–54.9 76% Yes No
49.0–51.9 15% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

The Hawk: Season 1 87% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$18K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

0.4-0.6% 54% Yes No
0.7-0.9% 29% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Economy