Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

15 events end within this window — sorted soonest first.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?

50-74 62% Yes No
<50 25% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 31 0% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

July 31 2% Yes No
June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$329K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

July 31 1% Yes No
June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$165K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

August 31 4% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No
$84K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

July 31 2% Yes No
June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?

July 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$71K Vol.
Polymarket

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

40+ 100% Yes No
30+ 9% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

July 7 100% Yes No
July 12 100% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?

United States 14% Yes No
United Kingdom 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$458K Vol.
Polymarket

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

July 31 8% Yes No
July 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$410K Vol.
Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

0-20 95% Yes No
20-40 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$239K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

July 31 6% Yes No
July 21 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

July 31 6% Yes No
July 24 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$84K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

July 31 97% Yes No
July 24 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.
Polymarket