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Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

21 events end within this window — sorted soonest first.

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

10 25% Yes No
9 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)

Never 100% Yes No
Tesla 100% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

0 81% Yes No
1 17% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$6K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Anthropic 99% Yes No
Google 0% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

Alibaba 80% Yes No
Moonshot 15% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$678K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?

Anthropic 95% Yes No
Moonshot 3% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$370K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest 92% Yes No
3rd hottest 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$112K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of July?

Anthropic 94% Yes No
Meta 1% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$109K Vol.
Polymarket

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

600mm+ 86% Yes No
575-600mm 6% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by July 31 96% Yes No
July 28 3% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$371K Vol.
Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

2200 100% Yes No
2300 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

July 31 1% Yes No
July 19 0% Yes No
$45K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July?

Moonshot 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+ 100% Yes No
2000+ 100% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in NYC in July?

>6" 40% Yes No
4-5" 28% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+ 100% Yes No
40-50mm 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm 94% Yes No
70-80mm 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$7K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5" 79% Yes No
1-1.5" 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 29, 2026?

>0.1 46% Yes No
0.1 43% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$5 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC 82% Yes No
1.25–1.29ºC 13% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

100–129 46% Yes No
160–189 46% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech