Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

24 events end within this window — sorted soonest first.

Fed Decision in July?

No change 75% Yes No
25 bps increase 25% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$91.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause 75% Yes No
Other 25% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$881K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

0 27% Yes No
1 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket

Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?

40%-42% 54% Yes No
38%-40% 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Balance Sheet 84% Yes No
Central Bank 82% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of England decision in July?

No change 98% Yes No
25 bps increase 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$80K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

1.5–2.0% 32% Yes No
2.0–2.5% 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

1.5-2.0% 42% Yes No
1.0-1.5% 35% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

0.4-0.6% 54% Yes No
0.7-0.9% 28% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

0.4-0.7% 73% Yes No
0.8-1.1% 13% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Core PCE YoY - June 2026

≤3.3% 72% Yes No
3.4% 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

No 39%
Yes 61%
$5K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$20.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change 98% Yes No
25 bps increase 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$305K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026

52.0–54.9 76% Yes No
49.0–51.9 15% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above __?

$19B 4% Yes No
$20B 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$9K Vol.
Polymarket

Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA 77% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$4.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2nd Largest Company end of July?

Apple 79% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$439K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of July?

Alphabet 99% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$302K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?

<$0.70T 45% Yes No
$0.70-$0.80T 37% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?

$2.60-$2.90 72% Yes No
$2.90-$3.20 21% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

USD x Iranian rials End of July?

1.8-1.9M 52% Yes No
1.9M+ 52% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by July 31?

↑ 1.7M 100% Yes No
↑ 1.8M 100% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket Economy