Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

14 events end within this window — sorted soonest first.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

25 bps increase 99% Yes No
No change 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$531K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Decrease 63% Yes No
No Change 37% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$296K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

No Change 99% Yes No
Increase 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No
25 bps decrease 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$90.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 21% Yes No
October Meeting 17% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 99% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

0 68% Yes No
1 21% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No
25 bps increase 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$280K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

No 40%
Yes 60%
$4K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth?

1%–1.5% 43% Yes No
<1% 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Decrease 92% Yes No
No Change 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$94K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

No 30%
Yes 70%
$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

No 14%
Yes 86%
$300 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech