Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
14 events end within this window — sorted soonest first.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Bank of Japan Decision in June?
25 bps increase
99%
Yes
No
No change
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$531K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease
63%
Yes
No
No Change
37%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$296K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
No Change
99%
Yes
No
Increase
1%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Fed Decision in June?
No change
99%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$90.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
21%
Yes
No
October Meeting
17%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%
Yes
No
Other
0%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0
68%
Yes
No
1
21%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$33K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Bank of England decision in June?
No change
99%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$280K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?
No
40%
Yes
60%
$4K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth?
1%–1.5%
43%
Yes
No
<1%
34%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$76K Vol.
Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?
Decrease
92%
Yes
No
No Change
10%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$94K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?
No
30%
Yes
70%
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?
No
14%
Yes
86%
$300 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech