Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

15 events end within this window — sorted soonest first.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 10?

$715 96% Yes No
$720 91% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 10?

$84 96% Yes No
$85 94% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

25 bps Increase 100% Yes No
No change 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$872K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Monthly Inflation - May

2.2–2.4% 67% Yes No
≤2.1% 20% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

5.0%–5.9% 47% Yes No
6.0%–6.9% 42% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

↑$150 94% Yes No
↑$200 18% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

Elon Musk 98% Yes No
Bret Johnsen 95% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

25 bps increase 98% Yes No
No change 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$422K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

No Change 61% Yes No
Decrease 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$262K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

No Change 96% Yes No
Increase 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$45K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No
25 bps increase 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$77.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 24% Yes No
October Meeting 13% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 99% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Cut 1% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

0 70% Yes No
1 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy