Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
15 events end within this window — sorted soonest first.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 10?
$715
96%
Yes
No
$720
91%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$29K Vol.
Polymarket
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 10?
$84
96%
Yes
No
$85
94%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$42K Vol.
Polymarket
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase
100%
Yes
No
No change
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$872K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Argentina Monthly Inflation - May
2.2–2.4%
67%
Yes
No
≤2.1%
20%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$50K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026
5.0%–5.9%
47%
Yes
No
6.0%–6.9%
42%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$13K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?
↑$150
94%
Yes
No
↑$200
18%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$22K Vol.
Polymarket
SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?
Elon Musk
98%
Yes
No
Bret Johnsen
95%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$22K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Bank of Japan Decision in June?
25 bps increase
98%
Yes
No
No change
2%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$422K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
No Change
61%
Yes
No
Decrease
38%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$262K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
No Change
96%
Yes
No
Increase
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$45K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Fed Decision in June?
No change
99%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
1%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$77.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
24%
Yes
No
October Meeting
13%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%
Yes
No
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0
70%
Yes
No
1
14%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$31K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy