Resolved Science & Tech Polymarket

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Top outcomes

2nd hottest 100%
1st hottest 0%
3rd hottest 0%
4th or lower 0%

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record. Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

$57K Vol. Closed Jun 30, 2026
Resolved outcome: 2nd hottest

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All outcomes

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$57K Vol.

2nd hottest

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

1st hottest

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

3rd hottest

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

4th or lower

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

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