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World Cup Winner What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner Next French Presidential Election Russia nuclear test by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Largest Company end of December 2026? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Brazil Presidential Election US strike on Mexico by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
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World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance

Top outcomes

Bosnia and Herzegovina 66%
Sweden 64%
Scotland 64%
Japan 48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$77K Vol. Closes Jun 29, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$77.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$77K Vol.

Bosnia and Herzegovina

66% market probability

66%

Explain your Yes on Bosnia and Herzegovina Explain your No on Bosnia and Herzegovina (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Sweden

64% market probability

64%

Explain your Yes on Sweden Explain your No on Sweden (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Scotland

64% market probability

64%

Explain your Yes on Scotland Explain your No on Scotland (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Japan

48% market probability

48%

Explain your Yes on Japan Explain your No on Japan (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Senegal

48% market probability

48%

Explain your Yes on Senegal Explain your No on Senegal (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Paraguay

48% market probability

48%

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0 / 2,000

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Ghana

40% market probability

40%

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0 / 2,000

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Australia

40% market probability

40%

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0 / 2,000

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Algeria

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on Algeria Explain your No on Algeria (optional)

0 / 2,000

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DR Congo

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on DR Congo Explain your No on DR Congo (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Ecuador

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on Ecuador Explain your No on Ecuador (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Cape Verde

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on Cape Verde Explain your No on Cape Verde (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Saudi Arabia

23% market probability

23%

Explain your Yes on Saudi Arabia Explain your No on Saudi Arabia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Egypt

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on Egypt Explain your No on Egypt (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Austria

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on Austria Explain your No on Austria (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Norway

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on Norway Explain your No on Norway (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Czechia

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on Czechia Explain your No on Czechia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Uzbekistan

17% market probability

17%

Explain your Yes on Uzbekistan Explain your No on Uzbekistan (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Qatar

15% market probability

15%

Explain your Yes on Qatar Explain your No on Qatar (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Belgium

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on Belgium Explain your No on Belgium (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Croatia

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on Croatia Explain your No on Croatia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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South Korea

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on South Korea Explain your No on South Korea (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Brazil

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on Brazil Explain your No on Brazil (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Iran

11% market probability

11%

Explain your Yes on Iran Explain your No on Iran (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Uruguay

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on Uruguay Explain your No on Uruguay (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Portugal

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on Portugal Explain your No on Portugal (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Colombia

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on Colombia Explain your No on Colombia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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New Zealand

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on New Zealand Explain your No on New Zealand (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Jordan

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on Jordan Explain your No on Jordan (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Ivory Coast

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on Ivory Coast Explain your No on Ivory Coast (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Panama

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on Panama Explain your No on Panama (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Iraq

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on Iraq Explain your No on Iraq (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Curaçao

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Curaçao Explain your No on Curaçao (optional)

0 / 2,000

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South Africa

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on South Africa Explain your No on South Africa (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Netherlands

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Netherlands Explain your No on Netherlands (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Spain

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Spain Explain your No on Spain (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Argentina

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Argentina Explain your No on Argentina (optional)

0 / 2,000

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France

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on France Explain your No on France (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Morocco

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Morocco Explain your No on Morocco (optional)

0 / 2,000

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England

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on England Explain your No on England (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Canada

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Canada Explain your No on Canada (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Switzerland

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Switzerland Explain your No on Switzerland (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Haiti

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Haiti Explain your No on Haiti (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Mexico

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Mexico Explain your No on Mexico (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Germany

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Germany Explain your No on Germany (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Tunisia

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Tunisia Explain your No on Tunisia (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Türkiye

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Türkiye Explain your No on Türkiye (optional)

0 / 2,000

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United States

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on United States Explain your No on United States (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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