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World Cup: Team to Go Unbeaten (Group Stage)
Top outcomes
Netherlands
94%
Morocco
94%
Brazil
90%
England
90%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team does not record a loss in any of its three 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage matches. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss; a drawn match counts as unbeaten. A listed team that is eliminated, disqualified, or withdraws before completing all three group matches will resolve “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the group stage unbeaten (e.g. they record a loss), the associated market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or official group stage results are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$80K Vol.
Closes Jun 29, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$80.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$80K Vol.
Netherlands
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Morocco
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Explain your Yes on Morocco
Explain your No on Morocco
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brazil
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 10%
+90 / −10
Explain your Yes on Brazil
Explain your No on Brazil
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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England
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 10%
+90 / −10
Explain your Yes on England
Explain your No on England
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Argentina
86% market probability
86%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 86%
+14 / −86
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 14%
+86 / −14
Explain your Yes on Argentina
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spain
86% market probability
86%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 86%
+14 / −86
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 15%
+85 / −15
Explain your Yes on Spain
Explain your No on Spain
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Belgium
83% market probability
83%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 83%
+17 / −83
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
Explain your Yes on Belgium
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mexico
75% market probability
75%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 75%
+25 / −75
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 25%
+75 / −25
Explain your Yes on Mexico
Explain your No on Mexico
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Japan
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
Explain your Yes on Japan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Germany
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
Explain your Yes on Germany
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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France
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
Explain your Yes on France
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Switzerland
72% market probability
72%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 72%
+28 / −72
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 28%
+72 / −28
Explain your Yes on Switzerland
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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United States
72% market probability
72%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 72%
+28 / −72
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 28%
+72 / −28
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Portugal
68% market probability
68%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 32%
+68 / −32
Explain your Yes on Portugal
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Egypt
61% market probability
61%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 61%
+39 / −61
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 39%
+61 / −39
Explain your Yes on Egypt
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Canada
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on Canada
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Uruguay
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Uruguay
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cape Verde
49% market probability
49%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 49%
+51 / −49
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 51%
+49 / −51
Explain your Yes on Cape Verde
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Colombia
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on Colombia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Norway
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Norway
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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DR Congo
29% market probability
29%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 29%
+71 / −29
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 71%
+29 / −71
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Austria
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on Austria
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Iran
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Iran
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Saudi Arabia
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Saudi Arabia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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New Zealand
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on New Zealand
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ghana
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Ghana
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Iraq
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Iraq
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Haiti
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Haiti
Explain your No on Haiti
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Qatar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jordan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Panama
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sweden
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Algeria
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Croatia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Croatia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ecuador
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ecuador
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Senegal
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Senegal
Explain your No on Senegal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tunisia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tunisia
Explain your No on Tunisia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Curaçao
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Curaçao
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paraguay
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Paraguay
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Scotland
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Scotland
Explain your No on Scotland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Türkiye
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Türkiye
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Australia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Australia
Explain your No on Australia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Uzbekistan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Uzbekistan
Explain your No on Uzbekistan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ivory Coast
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ivory Coast
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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South Korea
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on South Korea
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bosnia and Herzegovina
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bosnia and Herzegovina
Explain your No on Bosnia and Herzegovina
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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