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World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties
Top outcomes
5+ missed penalties
75%
10+ missed penalties
16%
15+ missed penalties
8%
20+ missed penalties
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$86K Vol.
Closes Jul 20, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$85.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$86K Vol.
5+ missed penalties
75% market probability
75%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 75%
+25 / −75
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 25%
+75 / −25
10+ missed penalties
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on 10+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 10+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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15+ missed penalties
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on 15+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 15+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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20+ missed penalties
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on 20+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 20+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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25+ missed penalties
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on 25+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 25+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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30+ missed penalties
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 30+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 30+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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35+ missed penalties
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 35+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 35+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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40+ missed penalties
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 40+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 40+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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45+ missed penalties
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 45+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 45+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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50+ missed penalties
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 50+ missed penalties
Explain your No on 50+ missed penalties
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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