Open Economy Polymarket

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?

Top outcomes

300M 99%
285M 87%
270M 48%
255M 16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

$16K Vol. Closes Sep 8, 2026

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$16.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$16K Vol.

300M

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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285M

87% market probability

87%

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0 / 2,000

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270M

48% market probability

48%

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0 / 2,000

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255M

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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240M

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 240M Explain your No on 240M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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225M

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 225M Explain your No on 225M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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