Russia nuclear test by...? Next French Presidential Election Makerfield by-election Winner Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Fed Decision in July? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Russia nuclear test by...? Next French Presidential Election Makerfield by-election Winner Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Fed Decision in July? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 10%
September 30 6%
June 30 1%
May 31 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

View on Polymarket
$52.8M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$52.8m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$52.8M Vol.

December 31

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 30

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on September 30 Explain your No on September 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

June 30

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on June 30 Explain your No on June 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

May 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on May 31 Explain your No on May 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

April 30

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on April 30 Explain your No on April 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

March 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on March 31 Explain your No on March 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.