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Russia nuclear test by...? Next French Presidential Election Makerfield by-election Winner Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Fed Decision in July? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Resolved 4th or lower Polymarket

Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record. Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

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$129K Vol. Closed Jun 10, 2026

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No 100%
Yes 0%
Resolved outcome: No

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