Resolved World Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Top outcomes

Elon Musk 100%
Xi Jinping 100%
Lula da Silva 100%
Friedrich Merz 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

$1.1M Vol. Closed May 31, 2026
Resolved outcome: Elon Musk

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$1.1m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.1M Vol.

Elon Musk

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Xi Jinping

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Lula da Silva

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Friedrich Merz

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Emmanuel Macron

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Mohammed bin Salman

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Ursula von der Leyen

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Ahmed al-Sharaa

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Vladimir Putin

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Mark Carney

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Maria Corina Machado

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Masoud Pezeshkian

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Keir Starmer

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Reza Pahlavi

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Pope Leo XIV

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kim Jong Un

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Mark Rutte

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Nicolás Maduro

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Yoon Suk Yeol

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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