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Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$204K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$204.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$204K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate P
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate R
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate T
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0 / 2,000
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Anna Kelly
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Anna Kelly
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Scott Jennings
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on Scott Jennings
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0 / 2,000
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Katie Miller
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on Katie Miller
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0 / 2,000
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Alina Habba
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on Alina Habba
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0 / 2,000
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Margo Martin
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Margo Martin
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0 / 2,000
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Taylor Rogers
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Taylor Rogers
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0 / 2,000
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Kayleigh McEnany
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Kayleigh McEnany
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hogan Gidley
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Hogan Gidley
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0 / 2,000
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Ari Fleischer
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Ari Fleischer
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tricia McLaughlin
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Tricia McLaughlin
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0 / 2,000
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Natalie Harp
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Natalie Harp
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0 / 2,000
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Lara Trump
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Lara Trump
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0 / 2,000
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Katie Zacharia
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Katie Zacharia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kari Lake
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Kari Lake
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0 / 2,000
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Liz Huston
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Liz Huston
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Matthew Boyle
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Matthew Boyle
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0 / 2,000
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Harrison Fields
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Harrison Fields
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lauren Bis
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Lauren Bis
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0 / 2,000
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Katie Pavlich
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Katie Pavlich
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Monica Crowley
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Monica Crowley
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0 / 2,000
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Rachel Campos-Duffy
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rachel Campos-Duffy
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pat Adams
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pat Adams
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kush Desai
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kush Desai
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kaelan Dorr
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kaelan Dorr
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spencer Pratt
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Spencer Pratt
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0 / 2,000
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