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Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

Top outcomes

OpenAI 82%
Other 50%
Company A 50%
Company B 50%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

$35K Vol. Closes Oct 1, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$34.5k Vol.

All outcomes

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$35K Vol.

OpenAI

82% market probability

82%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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Company A

50% market probability

50%

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Company B

50% market probability

50%

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Company C

50% market probability

50%

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Company D

50% market probability

50%

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Company E

50% market probability

50%

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Company F

50% market probability

50%

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Company G

50% market probability

50%

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Company H

50% market probability

50%

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Company I

50% market probability

50%

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Company J

50% market probability

50%

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Company K

50% market probability

50%

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Company L

50% market probability

50%

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Company M

50% market probability

50%

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SpaceXAI

7% market probability

7%

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Google

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Reve

5% market probability

5%

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Microsoft AI

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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ByteDance

4% market probability

4%

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Meta

2% market probability

2%

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Black Forest Labs

1% market probability

1%

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Recraft

0% market probability

0%

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Ideogram

0% market probability

0%

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Tencent

0% market probability

0%

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Luma AI

0% market probability

0%

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Alibaba

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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