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What will Trump say this week? (July 27 - August 2)
Top outcomes
Bibi / Netanyahu
96%
Sleepy Joe
86%
Barack Hussein Obama
82%
Landslide
82%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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$13K Vol.
Closes Aug 2, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$13.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$13K Vol.
Bibi / Netanyahu
96% market probability
96%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 96%
+4 / −96
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 4%
+96 / −4
Sleepy Joe
86% market probability
86%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 86%
+14 / −86
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 14%
+86 / −14
Explain your Yes on Sleepy Joe
Explain your No on Sleepy Joe
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Barack Hussein Obama
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 18%
+82 / −18
Explain your Yes on Barack Hussein Obama
Explain your No on Barack Hussein Obama
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Landslide
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 19%
+81 / −19
Explain your Yes on Landslide
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0 / 2,000
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President Xi
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Transgender
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Explain your Yes on Transgender
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Through The Roof
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
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0 / 2,000
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Ballroom
68% market probability
68%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 32%
+68 / −32
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0 / 2,000
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Melania
67% market probability
67%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 67%
+33 / −67
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 33%
+67 / −33
Explain your Yes on Melania
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Trump Account
66% market probability
66%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 34%
+66 / −34
Explain your Yes on Trump Account
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0 / 2,000
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No No No
64% market probability
64%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 36%
+64 / −36
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0 / 2,000
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Egg
56% market probability
56%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 44%
+56 / −44
Explain your Yes on Egg
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0 / 2,000
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Gianni / Infantino
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Moon
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
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0 / 2,000
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Karoline / Leavitt
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
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0 / 2,000
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Golden Dome
47% market probability
47%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 47%
+53 / −47
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
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0 / 2,000
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Champion
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
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0 / 2,000
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First Lady
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
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0 / 2,000
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Crypto / Bitcoin
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
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0 / 2,000
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Stupid Question
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Six Seven
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Epstein
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Epstein
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Uranium
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
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0 / 2,000
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