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What will Trump post this week? (July 27 - August 2)

Top outcomes

Lindsey / Graham 92%
China 88%
Russia 80%
Crime 78%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

$16K Vol. Closes Aug 2, 2026

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$16.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$16K Vol.

Lindsey / Graham

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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China

88% market probability

88%

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0 / 2,000

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Russia

80% market probability

80%

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0 / 2,000

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Crime

78% market probability

78%

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0 / 2,000

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Gold / Golden

74% market probability

74%

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0 / 2,000

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Communist

67% market probability

67%

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0 / 2,000

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Rigged

66% market probability

66%

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0 / 2,000

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Nuclear

65% market probability

65%

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0 / 2,000

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Israel

64% market probability

64%

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0 / 2,000

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Football

62% market probability

62%

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0 / 2,000

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Uranium

47% market probability

47%

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0 / 2,000

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Wall Street

46% market probability

46%

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0 / 2,000

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President Xi

46% market probability

46%

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0 / 2,000

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World Cup

40% market probability

40%

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0 / 2,000

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Scam

27% market probability

27%

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0 / 2,000

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Pope

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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Crypto / Bitcoin

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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