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Polymarket
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Top outcomes
Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look
95%
Other
50%
Movie A
50%
Movie B
50%
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
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$119K Vol.
Closes Sep 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$119.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$119K Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look
95% market probability
95%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 95%
+5 / −95
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 5%
+95 / −5
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Movie A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie A
Explain your No on Movie A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Movie B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie B
Explain your No on Movie B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Movie C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie C
Explain your No on Movie C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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The Whisper Man (2026)
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on The Whisper Man (2026)
Explain your No on The Whisper Man (2026)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Facing El Chapo
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Facing El Chapo
Explain your No on Facing El Chapo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Last House
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The Last House
Explain your No on The Last House
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Don't Say Good Luck
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Don't Say Good Luck
Explain your No on Don't Say Good Luck
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young
Explain your No on Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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