Open Pop Culture Polymarket

"Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office

Top outcomes

<39m 76%
39-42m 24%
42-45m 1%
45-48m 1%

This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 3 - July 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$11K Vol. Closes Jul 6, 2026

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$10.6k Vol.

All outcomes

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$11K Vol.

<39m

76% market probability

76%

Explain your Yes on <39m Explain your No on <39m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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39-42m

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on 39-42m Explain your No on 39-42m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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42-45m

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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45-48m

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 45-48m Explain your No on 45-48m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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>48m

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on >48m Explain your No on >48m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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