Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

Top outcomes

<275mm 43%
275-300mm 14%
450-500mm 10%
325-350mm 9%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

$3K Vol. Closes Sep 30, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3K Vol.

<275mm

43% market probability

43%

Explain your Yes on <275mm Explain your No on <275mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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275-300mm

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on 275-300mm Explain your No on 275-300mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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450-500mm

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on 450-500mm Explain your No on 450-500mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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325-350mm

9% market probability

9%

Explain your Yes on 325-350mm Explain your No on 325-350mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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500-550mm

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 500-550mm Explain your No on 500-550mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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400-450mm

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 400-450mm Explain your No on 400-450mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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300-325mm

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on 300-325mm Explain your No on 300-325mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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350-375mm

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on 350-375mm Explain your No on 350-375mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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375-400mm

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on 375-400mm Explain your No on 375-400mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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550mm+

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 550mm+ Explain your No on 550mm+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

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