Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Top outcomes

600mm+ 25%
400-425mm 24%
450-475mm 22%
475-500mm 22%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

$3K Vol. Closes Jul 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3K Vol.

600mm+

25% market probability

25%

Explain your Yes on 600mm+ Explain your No on 600mm+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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400-425mm

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on 400-425mm Explain your No on 400-425mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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450-475mm

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on 450-475mm Explain your No on 450-475mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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475-500mm

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on 475-500mm Explain your No on 475-500mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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575-600mm

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on 575-600mm Explain your No on 575-600mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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500-525mm

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on 500-525mm Explain your No on 500-525mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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425-450mm

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on 425-450mm Explain your No on 425-450mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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525-550mm

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 525-550mm Explain your No on 525-550mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<400mm

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on <400mm Explain your No on <400mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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550-575mm

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 550-575mm Explain your No on 550-575mm (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

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