Forecasts closed Politics Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Top outcomes

Abiy Ahmed 96%
Gedion Timothewos 1%
Berhanu Nega 0%
Alesa Mengesha 0%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$177.5M Vol. Closed Jun 1, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$177.5m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$177.5M Vol.

Abiy Ahmed

96% market probability

96%
Yes 96% +4 / −96 No 4% +96 / −4

Gedion Timothewos

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Berhanu Nega

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Alesa Mengesha

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Demeke Mekonnen

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Shimelis Abdisa

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Belete Molla

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Adanech Abiebie

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts were placed before this market closed.