Open Polymarket

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner

Top outcomes

Haley Stevens 96%
Other 50%
Candidate A 50%
Candidate B 50%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.

$14K Vol. Closes Aug 4, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$13.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$14K Vol.

Haley Stevens

96% market probability

96%

Explain your Yes on Haley Stevens Explain your No on Haley Stevens (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Other

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on Other Explain your No on Other (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Candidate A

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on Candidate A Explain your No on Candidate A (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Candidate B

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on Candidate B Explain your No on Candidate B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Candidate C

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on Candidate C Explain your No on Candidate C (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Abdul El-Sayed

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Abdul El-Sayed Explain your No on Abdul El-Sayed (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.