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MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Top outcomes
Richard Neal
92%
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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$83K Vol.
Closes Sep 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$82.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$83K Vol.
Richard Neal
92% market probability
92%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 92%
+8 / −92
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 8%
+92 / −8
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate A
Explain your No on Candidate A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate B
Explain your No on Candidate B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate C
Explain your No on Candidate C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jeromie Whalen
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Jeromie Whalen
Explain your No on Jeromie Whalen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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