Open Economy Polymarket

ISM Services PMI - August 2026

Top outcomes

54.0–54.9 49%
53.0–53.9 18%
50.0–50.9 14%
55.0–55.9 12%

This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

$47K Vol. Closes Sep 3, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$46.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$47K Vol.

54.0–54.9

49% market probability

49%

Explain your Yes on 54.0–54.9 Explain your No on 54.0–54.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

53.0–53.9

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on 53.0–53.9 Explain your No on 53.0–53.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

50.0–50.9

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on 50.0–50.9 Explain your No on 50.0–50.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

55.0–55.9

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on 55.0–55.9 Explain your No on 55.0–55.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

52.0–52.9

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 52.0–52.9 Explain your No on 52.0–52.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

56.0–56.9

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 56.0–56.9 Explain your No on 56.0–56.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

57.0–57.9

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 57.0–57.9 Explain your No on 57.0–57.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

51.0–51.9

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 51.0–51.9 Explain your No on 51.0–51.9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

58.0+

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 58.0+ Explain your No on 58.0+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

<50.0

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on <50.0 Explain your No on <50.0 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.