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Science & Tech
Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?
Top outcomes
<12
56%
12
38%
13
20%
14
15%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
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$240 Vol.
Closes Oct 1, 2026
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$240 Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$240 Vol.
<12
56% market probability
56%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 44%
+56 / −44
12
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on 12
Explain your No on 12
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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13
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on 13
Explain your No on 13
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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14
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on 14
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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15+
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on 15+
Explain your No on 15+
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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