Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Open Economy Polymarket

How many jobs added in August?

Top outcomes

50k – 100k 29%
0 – 50k 26%
100k – 150k 18%
-50k – 0 16%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

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$39K Vol. Closes Sep 5, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$38.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$39K Vol.

50k – 100k

29% market probability

29%

Explain your Yes on 50k – 100k Explain your No on 50k – 100k (optional)

0 / 2,000

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0 – 50k

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on 0 – 50k Explain your No on 0 – 50k (optional)

0 / 2,000

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100k – 150k

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on 100k – 150k Explain your No on 100k – 150k (optional)

0 / 2,000

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-50k – 0

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on -50k – 0 Explain your No on -50k – 0 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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150k+

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 150k+ Explain your No on 150k+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<-50k

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on <-50k Explain your No on <-50k (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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