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Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?

Top outcomes

16°C 69%
17°C 17%
15°C 10%
18°C 4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

$17K Vol. Closes Sep 2, 2026

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$17.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$17K Vol.

16°C

69% market probability

69%

Explain your Yes on 16°C Explain your No on 16°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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17°C

17% market probability

17%

Explain your Yes on 17°C Explain your No on 17°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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15°C

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on 15°C Explain your No on 15°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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18°C

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 18°C Explain your No on 18°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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14°C

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 14°C Explain your No on 14°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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13°C

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 13°C Explain your No on 13°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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19°C

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 19°C Explain your No on 19°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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11°C

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 11°C Explain your No on 11°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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12°C

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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10°C or below

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 10°C or below Explain your No on 10°C or below (optional)

0 / 2,000

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20°C or higher

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 20°C or higher Explain your No on 20°C or higher (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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