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Highest temperature in Munich on October 17?

Top outcomes

15°C or below 45%
16°C 32%
17°C 18%
18°C 2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

$16K Vol. Closes Oct 17, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$16.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$16K Vol.

15°C or below

45% market probability

45%

Explain your Yes on 15°C or below Explain your No on 15°C or below (optional)

0 / 2,000

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16°C

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on 16°C Explain your No on 16°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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17°C

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on 17°C Explain your No on 17°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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18°C

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 18°C Explain your No on 18°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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19°C

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 19°C Explain your No on 19°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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21°C

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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22°C

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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23°C

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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25°C or higher

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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20°C

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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24°C

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 24°C Explain your No on 24°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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