Forecasts closed Polymarket

Highest temperature in Miami on September 4?

Top outcomes

90-91°F 44%
88-89°F 40%
86-87°F 6%
92-93°F 6%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

$11K Vol. Closes Sep 4, 2026

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$11.5k Vol.

All outcomes

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$11K Vol.

90-91°F

44% market probability

44%
Yes 44% +56 / −44 No 56% +44 / −56

88-89°F

40% market probability

40%
Yes 40% +60 / −40 No 60% +40 / −60

86-87°F

6% market probability

6%
Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

92-93°F

6% market probability

6%
Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

84-85°F

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

82-83°F

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

96-97°F

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

94-95°F

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

80-81°F

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

79°F or below

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

98°F or higher

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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